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Reported COVID cases skyrocket in Erie County - but MAY have peaked


Tue, Jan 11th 2022 07:10 pm

The Erie County Department of Health provided coronavirus case data for the week ending Jan. 8.

√ COVID-19 cases increased 43% from the previous week. The age group 20-39-year-olds continues to contribute substantially to case volume, accounting for 41.3% of all cases reported last week.

√ 19,243 COVID-19 cases were reported for the week, up from 13,460 COVID-19 cases for the period ending Jan. 1. Weekly reported cases have nearly quadrupled from the week ending Dec. 25, 2021, which had 5,108 COVID-19 cases.

√ The 7-day case rate per 100,000 persons was 2,017, up from 1,411 the previous week. Erie County remains in "high" COVID-19 transmission per Centers for Disease Control and Prevention indicators.

√ COVID-19 cases among City of Buffalo residents comprised approximately 39% of cases last week. The City of Buffalo population is about 29% of Erie County residents.

√ The ZIP codes 14203, 14020, 14215, 14211 and 14072 had the highest 7-day case rates last week.

√ Approximately 77,600 COVID-19 tests were reported last week, which is the highest reported total for Erie County ever.

√ The weekly positivity rate for last week was 24.8%, representing about one out of four people with reported test results. ECDOH data does not include at-home COVID-19 test results.

√ Positivity percentages increased in nearly every age group, with 14-17-year-olds and 18-22-year-olds having the highest percentages, with about 30% each.

√ Case totals for persons under age 18 years increased about 48% compared to the previous week, with 3,114 COVID-19 cases.

√ Grand Island had 492 new cases. With a population of 20,374, that equates to 345.0 new daily cases per 100,000 persons on 7-day rolling average, and 2,414.8 total new cases per 100,000 persons in the past 7 days.

ECDOH graphic


New COVID-19 Cases Jan. 10

ECDOH confirmed 2,534 new COVID-19 cases for Jan. 10, and 20,010 total cases over the past seven days. Total new cases per 100,000 Erie County residents over that same time period was 2,097, with a positivity rate was 27.2%.

The total number cases through Jan. 10 is 180,005. These totals do not include at-home positive test reports.

For more:

√ Erie County Department of Health data: https://www2.erie.gov/health/sites/www2.erie.gov.health/files/uploads/pdfs/01082022-ECDOH-COVID-data.pdf

√ New York State Department of Health data: https://forward.ny.gov/percentage-positive-results-county-dashboard

Cases Peaking?

On Tuesday evening, Erie County Executive Mark Poloncarz tweeted, “Our @ECDOH has confirmed 2,534 new COVID-19 cases for yesterday. While this total is high, it MAY be indicative of cases peaking in the county because (1) it was the first Monday since Dec. 13 to have less cases than the immediately preceding Friday (3,779 on 1/7/22) and week-to-week Monday growth was only 3%, the lowest weekly growth in more than a month. Prior Mondays saw 45% (1/3/22), 55% (12/27/21) and 28% (12/20/21) growth of cases from the prior Monday. We will continue to monitor the situation and report to the public.”

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